It is Obvious

Chris Rick has got altogether too much to say

A bad day at the office

Posted by chrisrick13 on May 8, 2015

It is obvious: we are saved

The Conservatives will be in charge when the disaster strikes.  They have had 5 years and will have some more time so they can justifiably take a big share of the blame.  Then they will be out of power for a generation.  Did Labour just target their core vote in the election campaign so that they could sacrifice 5 years for 30 years?

At least this proves that there is a god in heaven.  Ed Balls is out and Ed Milliband will shortly follow.  Two of the main architects of the economic disaster that was the Labour rule under Brown and Blair.  I am just vindictive.  No need to worry Labour have plenty of like-minded people to take their places.

Without first past the post voting we would now be faced with a Conservative/UKIP coalition running things.  If there is a good reason to keep it then this result is it.  If you want to see what happens go and look at Israel.

The reality is that for a lot of what goes on in the early days of this parliament the Conservatives will have a majority in the commons of 41.  So they will last a while…but perhaps not 5 years.  Certainly when the reset comes they will fail a confidence vote.

Both my bets came in.  Conservatives to get more than 272 seats seemed to me to be an opportunity to follow the ECB and print money.  The 56.5 for SNP gave me a much harder ride.  I was tempted by 300-325 for the Conservatives but 3-1 was not good enough odds…and I would have lost!

There is an elephant in the room.  Only one commentator has mentioned it this morning.  The Conservatives will be able to run the boundary commission – something they could not do in the previous parliament.  When they have finished their deliberations it will take 20 seats from Labour and pass them to the Conservatives.  It is a removal of the Rotten-Boroughs of times past.  I am still uneasy about it.  If the SNP stay as they are this will make sure that Labour cannot win an election into the future…except for the effects of the coming reset.

Mr & Mrs Weir won £176m on the lottery and provided most of the SNP funding in recent years.  A £2 bet that has change British politics.  Given that many people in England bought lottery tickets to help the Weirs get to £176m it shows that no good deed goes unpunished.

I have to thank the BBC and others.  At 22:00 they gave the result of the exit poll.  It asked questions of 22,500 people.  This is 10 times the number that take part in the average opinion poll.  It was much closer than the opinion polls by an order of magnitude but still did not get it right.  However it meant that I could go to bed at 22:05.  No tents all-night vigil to see what might happen.

I saw an episode of the Power Game on BCC.  I have mentioned the program before.  The MD was negotiating with (I think) a Russian to sell stuff to his government department.  The MD was having trouble.  The Chairman stepped in and took over negotiations.  He spouted good socialist rhetoric and was amazed at the end of the process that they did not get the contract.  The MD pointed out to him that what the Russian wanted was not socialism but a bribe.  I think this result exposes one of the flaws of the Labour party.  A great number of Labour supporters are not remotely socialist.  The Labour party will have this drag for all time.  Not something that bothers the Conservatives.

I would add one more thought.  I love and hate trade unions.  They have had their time in control and when a lot of committed communists intent on the downfall of the UK were running the unions.  They will not have it again.  Perhaps their ineptitude to manage a political party was embodied in the choice of Ed Milliband as leader.  He is a man of his words and his ideals – something to be proud of.  He is not a winner.

It is obvious: we are saved, at least those of us who made it to the hills are

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